![]() The national life tables provide estimates of "period life expectancy", which is the average number of additional years a person would expect to live if they experienced the age-specific mortality rates of a particular time and place throughout their lives. Provisional estimates for Northern Ireland show that the total number of deaths in 2020 was 11.0% higher than the five-year average (2015 to 2019). Similarly, in Scotland the number of deaths rose by 10% and the ASMR increased by 9% in 2020, taking the rate back to the 2009 level. ASMRs for 2020 were significantly higher than every year back to 2010 in males and 2009 in females. Taking into account the population size and age structure, age-standardised mortality rates (ASMRs) in England and Wales increased significantly, by 14.6% for males and 11.9% for females. In England and Wales, there was a 14.5% increase in the number of deaths compared with 2019. The changes observed in 2018 to 2020 when compared with 2015 to 2017 are the lowest we have seen, with a decline of 7.0 weeks for males, and almost no change (an increase of 0.5 weeks) for females, notwithstanding the relatively low improvements in 2015 to 2017 itself.ĭownload this chart Figure 2: The period 2018 to 2020 saw the smallest improvement in life expectancy for males and females since the series began in 1980 to 1982 ImageĪcross the UK, mortality increased in 2020, in a large part because of the impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. ![]() In contrast, excess mortality because of winter flu led to particularly low improvements in 2015 to 2017. Since 2010 to 2012, the improvements for each period when compared with the previous non-overlapping period have been declining for both males and females, with the exception of 2017 to 2019 when improvements increased slightly. However, in the last 10 years, improvements in life expectancy at birth have slowed. In the first decade of the 21st century, we saw improvements for males of between 42 weeks and 53 weeks, and improvements for females of between 29 weeks and 42 weeks, when comparing life expectancy at birth in one three-year period with the previous non-overlapping three-year period (Figure 2). Pamela Cobb, Centre for Ageing and Demography, Office for National Statisticsįollow Centre for Ageing and Demography on Twitter Back to table of contentsĭownload this chart Figure 1: Life expectancy in the UK in 2018 to 2020 fell to the level of 2012 to 2014 for males and was similar to 2015 to 2017 for females Image Once the coronavirus pandemic has ended and its consequences for future mortality are known, it is possible that life expectancy will return to an improving trend in the future.” “These estimates rely on the assumption that current levels of mortality, which are unusually high, will continue for the rest of someone’s life. This is the first time we have seen a decline when comparing non-overlapping time periods since the series began in the early 1980s. Consequently, in the latest estimates, we see virtually no improvement in life expectancy for females compared to 2015 to 2017 at 82.9 years, while for males life expectancy has fallen back to levels reported for 2012 to 2014, at 79 years. “However, the coronavirus pandemic led to a greater number of deaths than normal in 2020. "Life expectancy has increased in the UK over the last 40 years, albeit at a slower pace in the last decade. In the UK the median age at death was 82.3 years for males and 85.8 years for females and the modal (most common) age at death was 86.7 years for males and 89.3 years for females in 2018 to 2020 these show the typical ages at which death occurs and were very similar to the estimates for 2015 to 2017. These life tables cover mortality in the UK for the period from 2018 to 2020 and are the first to include the higher mortality observed in 2020 during the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. Life expectancy at age 65 years was 18.5 years for males and 21.0 years for females these estimates are very similar to those for 2015 to 2017 with a slight decline of 1.0 weeks for males and an increase of 3.1 weeks for females.Īcross the UK, life expectancy at birth in 2018 to 2020 was estimated to be 79.3 years for males and 83.1 years for females in England, 76.8 years for males and 81.0 years for females in Scotland, 78.3 years for males and 82.1 years for females in Wales, and 78.7 years for males and 82.4 years for females in Northern Ireland. Life expectancy at birth in the UK in 2018 to 2020 was 79.0 years for males and 82.9 years for females this represents a fall of 7.0 weeks for males and almost no change for females (a slight increase of 0.5 weeks) from the latest non-overlapping period of 2015 to 2017.
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